Trump To Win Election 2024. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. Our prediction model shows the chances kamala harris and donald trump have of winning the contest to be america's next.


Trump To Win Election 2024

Based on all of our model’s scenarios, we give ms harris a 56% chance of winning the election and mr trump 43%, making it virtually a coin toss. As former president donald trump threatens to prosecute his political rivals, my colleague michael schmidt, an investigative reporter, has an important look at how trump deployed his power.

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